Txantrea vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, Pamplona
The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Txantrea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Subiza wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Txantrea vs Subiza?
Subiza starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Txantrea vs Subiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Txantrea
Not enough data to predict the Txantrea lineup.
Subiza
Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Txantrea have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Subiza have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Txantrea win, 4 draws, 1 Subiza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Subiza 2-2 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Txantrea 1-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Subiza 0-2 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Txantrea 0-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Txantrea 0-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Subiza 4-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Txantrea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Txantrea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Subiza | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Txantrea sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 6 matches) and Subiza sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Subiza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Txantrea vs Subiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Txantrea vs Subiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Txantrea.
- Where and when is Txantrea vs Subiza played?
- Txantrea vs Subiza is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.