Izarra vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Subiza. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Subiza?
On Elo ratings, Izarra has 1,848 points and Subiza 1,753.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Izarra vs Subiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Subiza
Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Subiza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Izarra wins, 1 draw, 2 Subiza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra 4-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Subiza 1-0 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Subiza 0-0 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Izarra 4-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 4, 2025 | Izarra 1-5 Subiza | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Subiza 1-3 Izarra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Subiza | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (15 points from 5 matches) and Subiza sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Subiza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Izarra vs Subiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Subiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Subiza.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Subiza played?
- Izarra vs Subiza is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.