Izarra vs Gazte Berriak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab model makes Izarra the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gazte Berriak. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Gazte Berriak?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Gazte Berriak have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 30, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 24, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Izarra | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Gazte Berriak?
- The Footlab model makes Izarra the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gazte Berriak.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Gazte Berriak played?
- Izarra vs Gazte Berriak is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.