Izarra vs Gazte Berriak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Gazte Berriak. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Gazte Berriak?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Izarra vs Gazte Berriak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Gazte Berriak
Not enough data to predict the Gazte Berriak lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gazte Berriak have 4, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gazte Berriak score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gazte Berriak | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4 | 2/8 | 1/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (22 points from 8 matches) and Gazte Berriak sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Gazte Berriak | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Izarra vs Gazte Berriak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Gazte Berriak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Gazte Berriak.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Gazte Berriak played?
- Izarra vs Gazte Berriak is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.