Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierMatchday 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna, Tuxtla Gutiérrez
The Footlab AI model makes Jaguares de Chiapas the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaguares de Chiapas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Jaguares de Chiapas (1,922) and Chapulineros (1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaguares de Chiapas
Not enough data to predict the Jaguares de Chiapas lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares de Chiapas have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Chapulineros have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 8, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jaguares de Chiapas win, 2 draws, 0 Chapulineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chapulineros 0-1 Jaguares de Chiapas | Primera Premier |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas 0-0 Chapulineros | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Chapulineros 2-2 Jaguares de Chiapas | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Chapulineros vs Jaguares de Chiapas on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguares de Chiapas score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chapulineros score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Chapulineros | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaguares de Chiapas sit 6th in Primera Premier (16 points from 11 matches) and Chapulineros sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaguares de Chiapas the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros played?
- Jaguares de Chiapas vs Chapulineros is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.