Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún: prediction and stats
Primera PremierMatchday 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pioneros de Cancún. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Celaya (1,979) and Pioneros de Cancún (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Pioneros de Cancún
Not enough data to predict the Pioneros de Cancún lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pioneros de Cancún have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(away) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Celaya wins, 0 draws, 0 Pioneros de Cancún wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún 0-3 Celaya | Primera Premier |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún 0-2 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Celaya 3-1 Pioneros de Cancún | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Pioneros de Cancún vs Celaya on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pioneros de Cancún score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pioneros de Cancún | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 4th in Primera Premier (20 points from 10 matches) and Pioneros de Cancún sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Celaya | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 20 |
A question about Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pioneros de Cancún.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún played?
- Celaya vs Pioneros de Cancún is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.