Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Hugo Sánchez, Boca del Río, Veracruz
The Footlab AI model makes Racing de Veracruz the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula?
Racing de Veracruz starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (2,087 vs 1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing de Veracruz
Not enough data to predict the Racing de Veracruz lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing de Veracruz have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Tapachula have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 3-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 5-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Racing de Veracruz wins, 2 draws, 0 Tapachula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tapachula 0-4 Racing de Veracruz | Primera Premier |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz 2-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Tapachula 0-1 Racing de Veracruz | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Tapachula 0-0 Racing de Veracruz | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Racing de Veracruz 1-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Racing de Veracruz on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing de Veracruz score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing de Veracruz | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing de Veracruz sit 4th in Primera Premier (14 points from 6 matches) and Tapachula sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Racing de Veracruz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing de Veracruz the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula played?
- Racing de Veracruz vs Tapachula is played on January 8, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Hugo Sánchez, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.