Jamaica vs Nicaragua: result 2-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF3rd RoundKick-off on September 5, 2015 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Independence Park, Kingston
Full time
What was the result of Jamaica vs Nicaragua?
Nicaragua won 2-3 on September 5, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 5′Manuel Rosas ArreolaNicaragua (pen.)
- 8′C. ChavarríaNicaragua
- 48′L. GaleanoNicaragua
- 69′Darren MattocksJamaica
- 78′A. MariappaJamaica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jamaica have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nicaragua have 4, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2015 | Mexico(home) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 22, 2015 | USA(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 19, 2015 | Haiti(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 14, 2015 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 11, 2015 | Canada(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2015 | Suriname(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 8, 2015 | Suriname(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 29, 2015 | Anguilla(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 24, 2015 | Anguilla(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Jamaica score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nicaragua score 3.0 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaica | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Nicaragua | 3.0 | 0.3 | 3 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jamaica sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF (11 points from 6 matches) and Nicaragua sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jamaica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy