Jamaica W vs Costa Rica W: prediction and stats
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)CommBank Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Costa Rica W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Jamaica W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jamaica W vs Costa Rica W?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Jamaica W (1,548) and Costa Rica W (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jamaica W have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Costa Rica W have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mexico W(home) | 0-7 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puerto Rico W(away) | 0-1 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Colombia W(home) | 0-5 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Panama W(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Panama W(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | El Salvador W(home) | 0-1 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dominican Republic W(away) | 2-1 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Venezuela W(home) | 0-3 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Canada W(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 6, 2026 | El Salvador W(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Jamaica W win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Costa Rica W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2022 | Costa Rica W 0-1 Jamaica W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Costa Rica W 0-0 Jamaica W | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Costa Rica W 0-1 Jamaica W | Friendlies Women |
Last archived meeting: Costa Rica W vs Jamaica W on Jul 18, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Jamaica W score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica W score 2.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaica W | 2.1 | 2.5 | 5 | 2/15 | 11/15 |
| Costa Rica W | 2.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jamaica W vs Costa Rica W?
- The Footlab model makes Costa Rica W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Jamaica W.
- Where and when is Jamaica W vs Costa Rica W played?
- Jamaica W vs Costa Rica W is played on November 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at CommBank Stadium, in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.