Mexico W vs Haiti W: prediction and stats
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Pinatar Arena Football Center, San Pedro del Pinatar
The Footlab AI model makes Mexico W the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Haiti W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,935 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mexico W vs Haiti W?
Mexico W starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,610).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mexico W vs Haiti W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mexico W
4-3-3- 11L. Ovalle
- 10K. Palacios
- 7A. Soto
- 8A. Delgado
- 8A. Delgado
- 20N. Hernandez
- 4R. Bernal
- 6R. Reyes
- 23Karina Rodríguez
- 14G. Espinoza
- 21E. Barreras
Haiti W
4-3-3- 10N. Mondésir
- 15D. Joseph
- 19E. Lourdjina
- 9S. Jeudy
- 6M. Dumornay
- 11R. Éloissaint
- 3J. Limage
- 4T. Joseph
- 16C. Constant
- 20K. Louis
- 12O. Toussaint
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico W have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Haiti W have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Women |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colombia W(away) | 1-1 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Aug 5, 2026 | El Salvador W(home) | 4-1 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jamaica W(away) | 7-0 | Central American and Caribbean Games |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Australia W(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea W(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 5, 2026 | New Zealand W(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dominican Republic W(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Anguilla W(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mexico W wins, 0 draws, 1 Haiti W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2022 | Haiti W 3-0 Mexico W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico W score 4.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Haiti W score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico W | 4.0 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Haiti W | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mexico W vs Haiti W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mexico W vs Haiti W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mexico W the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Haiti W.
- Where and when is Mexico W vs Haiti W played?
- Mexico W vs Haiti W is played on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Pinatar Arena Football Center, in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.