Canada W vs Panama W: prediction and stats
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Pinatar Arena Football Center, San Pedro del Pinatar
The Footlab model makes Canada W the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Panama W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canada W vs Panama W?
Canada W starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada W have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Panama W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Costa Rica W(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Brazil W(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 14, 2026 | South Korea W(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zambia W(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Argentina W(home) | 0-0 | SheBelieves Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cuba W(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aruba W(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Mar 4, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis W(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Canada W win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Panama W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Panama W 0-1 Canada W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada W score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panama W score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada W | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Panama W | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canada W vs Panama W?
- The Footlab model makes Canada W the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Panama W.
- Where and when is Canada W vs Panama W played?
- Canada W vs Panama W is played on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Pinatar Arena Football Center, in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.