Canada W vs Panama W: prediction and stats
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Pinatar Arena Football Center, San Pedro del Pinatar
The Footlab AI model makes Canada W the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Panama W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Canada W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canada W vs Panama W?
Canada W starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,586).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Canada W vs Panama W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Canada W
4-3-3- 11É. Viens
- 19M. Alidou
- 15N. Prince
- 17J. Fleming
- 20C. Lacasse
- 8E. Regan
- 16J. Beckie
- 12J. Rose
- 4S. Zadorsky
- 5G. Carle
- 1K. Sheridan
Panama W
4-3-3- 23C. Baltrip-Reyes
- 7Ericka Arauz
- 13R. Tanner
- 10Sherline King
- 6Deysiré Mayte Salazar Biscaino
- 20A. Quintero
- 3W. Natis
- 2H. Jaén
- 4K. Castillo
- 16R. Espinosa
- 12Y. Bailey
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada W have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Panama W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Denmark W(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Denmark W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Costa Rica W(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Brazil W(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 14, 2026 | South Korea W(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Jamaica W(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cuba W(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aruba W(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
| Mar 4, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis W(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Canada W win, 0 draws, 0 Panama W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Panama W 0-1 Canada W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada W score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Panama W score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada W | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Panama W | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Canada W vs Panama W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canada W vs Panama W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Canada W the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Panama W.
- Where and when is Canada W vs Panama W played?
- Canada W vs Panama W is played on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Pinatar Arena Football Center, in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Concacaf.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.