JäPS vs KäPa: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Järvenpään keskuskenttä, Järvenpää
The Footlab model makes JäPS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for KäPa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JäPS vs KäPa?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate JäPS (1,595) and KäPa (1,508).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JäPS have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; KäPa have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haka(home) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MP(home) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | JIPPO(away) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Klubi-04(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | JIPPO(home) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kooteepee(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EIF(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MP(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Haka(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JäPS win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 KäPa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | KäPa 3-1 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| May 29, 2026 | KäPa 2-1 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JäPS 0-1 KäPa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 5, 2025 | KäPa 2-3 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | KäPa 0-3 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 6, 2025 | JäPS 2-2 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
JäPS score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JäPS | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| KäPa | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JäPS sit 5th in Ykkösliiga (28 points from 20 matches) and KäPa sit 8th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JäPS vs KäPa?
- The Footlab model makes JäPS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for KäPa.
- Where and when is JäPS vs KäPa played?
- JäPS vs KäPa is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Järvenpään keskuskenttä, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.