Jarabacoa vs Atlántico: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Atlántico the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Jarabacoa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarabacoa vs Atlántico?
Atlántico starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,553 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jarabacoa have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Atlántico have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 0-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Atlántico(away) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Vega Real(away) | 0-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cibao(home) | 0-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Atlético Pantoja(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Jarabacoa(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Universidad O&M(away) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Moca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Vega Real(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jarabacoa win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Atlántico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | Atlántico 1-1 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Jarabacoa 2-2 Atlántico | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Jarabacoa 0-1 Atlántico | Copa LDF |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Atlántico 2-1 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| May 27, 2023 | Atlántico 2-2 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Jarabacoa 1-4 Atlántico | Liga Mayor |
Last archived meeting: Atlántico vs Jarabacoa on Dec 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jarabacoa score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlántico score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarabacoa | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlántico | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jarabacoa sit 8th in Liga Mayor (0 points from 1 matches) and Atlántico sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlántico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Jarabacoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarabacoa vs Atlántico?
- The Footlab model makes Atlántico the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Jarabacoa.
- Where and when is Jarabacoa vs Atlántico played?
- Jarabacoa vs Atlántico is played on August 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.