Moca vs Salcedo: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Salcedo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Moca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moca vs Salcedo?
Salcedo starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moca have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Salcedo have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vega Real(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Universidad O&M(away) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Atlético Pantoja(away) | 0-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad O&M(home) | 3-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cavalier(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Portmore United(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| May 24, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| May 17, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moca win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Salcedo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Salcedo 1-0 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Moca 0-1 Salcedo | Liga Mayor |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Salcedo 0-2 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Salcedo 2-2 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Moca 1-1 Salcedo | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Moca 0-3 Salcedo | Copa LDF |
How many goals should we expect?
Moca score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salcedo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moca | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Salcedo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moca vs Salcedo?
- The Footlab model makes Salcedo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Moca.
- Where and when is Moca vs Salcedo played?
- Moca vs Salcedo is played on August 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.