Vega Real vs Universidad O&M: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vega Real the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Universidad O&M. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vega Real vs Universidad O&M?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Vega Real (1,530) and Universidad O&M (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vega Real have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Universidad O&M have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Moca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Salcedo(home) | 4-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 0-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Jarabacoa(home) | 3-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Universidad O&M(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Moca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(away) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vega Real win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Universidad O&M win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Universidad O&M 0-1 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Vega Real 2-2 Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Vega Real 2-1 Universidad O&M | Copa LDF |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Vega Real 1-3 Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| May 22, 2024 | Universidad O&M 0-0 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Vega Real 0-1 Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
Last archived meeting: Universidad O&M vs Vega Real on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vega Real score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad O&M score 1.0 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vega Real | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Universidad O&M | 1.0 | 2.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vega Real sit 5th in Liga Mayor (1 points from 1 matches) and Universidad O&M sit 8th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vega Real | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Universidad O&M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vega Real vs Universidad O&M?
- The Footlab model makes Vega Real the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Universidad O&M.
- Where and when is Vega Real vs Universidad O&M played?
- Vega Real vs Universidad O&M is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.