Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław
The Footlab AI model makes Jarosław the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jarosław wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,647) and Hetman Zamosc (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jarosław
Not enough data to predict the Jarosław lineup.
Hetman Zamosc
Not enough data to predict the Hetman Zamosc lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Jarosław win, 0 draws, 1 Hetman Zamosc win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc 1-0 Jarosław | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Jarosław 5-2 Hetman Zamosc | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Jarosław on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jarosław score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jarosław sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (18 points from 16 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 6th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hetman Zamosc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 12 | Jarosław | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
A question about Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jarosław the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Jarosław vs Hetman Zamosc is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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