Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Moravia Morawica

The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718) and Moravia Morawica (1,712).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win44 %

Draw24 %

Moravia Morawica win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Moravia Morawica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Naprzód(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Moravia Morawica	1.1	2.7	1	3/9	6/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica?: The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Moravia Morawica is played on May 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.