Match

Jarun vs Bjelovar: prediction and stats

Second NLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivan Laljak-Ivić, Zaprešić

JarunBjelovar

The Footlab AI model makes Jarun the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bjelovar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jarun wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jarun vs Bjelovar?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Jarun (1,632) and Bjelovar (1,647).

45%25%30%
Jarun winDrawBjelovar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Jarun vs Bjelovar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Jarun

4-3-3
  1. 20N. Ocvirek
  2. 26F. Petkovic
  3. 9G. Jelic
  1. 10K. Luetic
  2. 30Ivan Mamić
  3. 25D. Hodak
  1. 22M. Maloča
  2. 5B. Orlić
  3. 2T. Grdenic
  4. 34A. Reyvandi
  1. 72I. Krizanovic

Bjelovar

Not enough data to predict the Bjelovar lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jarun have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bjelovar have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jarun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Varteks Varaždin(home)1-0Second NL
Sep 26, 2026Grobničan Čavle(home)3-0Second NL
Sep 19, 2026Križevci(away)2-2Second NL
Sep 12, 2026Trnje(home)3-3Second NL
Sep 5, 2026Slavonija Požega(away)1-0Second NL
Bjelovar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Dugo Selo(away)1-3Second NL
Oct 3, 2026Inter Zapresic(away)0-0Second NL
Sep 26, 2026Varteks Varaždin(home)1-1Second NL
Sep 19, 2026Uskok Klis(away)3-2Second NL
Sep 15, 2026Karlovac 1919(home)0-2Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Jarun score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bjelovar score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jarun1.51.448/157/15
Bjelovar1.71.739/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jarun sit 5th in Second NL (13 points from 7 matches) and Bjelovar sit 3rd (14 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bjelovar8422171214
5Jarun7340151013

A question about Jarun vs Bjelovar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jarun vs Bjelovar?
The Footlab AI model makes Jarun the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bjelovar.
Where and when is Jarun vs Bjelovar played?
Jarun vs Bjelovar is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivan Laljak-Ivić, in the Second NL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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