Jedinstvo Ub vs Naftagas: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub
The Footlab model makes Jedinstvo Ub the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Naftagas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jedinstvo Ub vs Naftagas?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Jedinstvo Ub (1,532) and Naftagas (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jedinstvo Ub have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Naftagas have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Javor(away) | 0-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Macva(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Jedinstvo Ub score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedinstvo Ub | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jedinstvo Ub sit 14th in Prva Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Naftagas sit 16th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jedinstvo Ub | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | Naftagas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jedinstvo Ub vs Naftagas?
- The Footlab model makes Jedinstvo Ub the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Naftagas.
- Where and when is Jedinstvo Ub vs Naftagas played?
- Jedinstvo Ub vs Naftagas is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragan Dzajić, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.