Jedinstvo Ub vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub
The Footlab model makes Jedinstvo Ub the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jedinstvo Ub vs Napredak?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Jedinstvo Ub (1,531) and Napredak (1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jedinstvo Ub have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Napredak have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Javor(away) | 0-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Jedinstvo Ub win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Napredak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2025 | Napredak 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub | Super Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Jedinstvo Ub 0-0 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Napredak 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Napredak vs Jedinstvo Ub on Apr 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jedinstvo Ub score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedinstvo Ub | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Napredak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jedinstvo Ub sit 15th in Prva Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Napredak sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Napredak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jedinstvo Ub vs Napredak?
- The Footlab model makes Jedinstvo Ub the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Jedinstvo Ub vs Napredak played?
- Jedinstvo Ub vs Napredak is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragan Dzajić, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.