Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Jeju United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Jeju United FC (1,735) and Ulsan Hyundai FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jeju United FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jeju United FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Jeju United FC 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Jeju United FC 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Jeju United FC on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jeju United FC sit 5th in K League 1 (35 points from 25 matches) and Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 3rd (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Jeju United FC.
- Where and when is Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC played?
- Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Jeju World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.