Jelgava vs Daugavpils / Progress: result 1-2 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 18, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, Jelgava
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What was the result of Jelgava vs Daugavpils / Progress?
Daugavpils / Progress won 1-2 on April 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 57′Eriks KokinsDaugavpils / Progress
- 62′M. GhonghadzeDaugavpils / Progress
- 72′V. KozlovsJelgava
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Jelgava have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Daugavpils / Progress have 2, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2012 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 3-4 | Virsliga |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Gulbene 2005(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Liepājas Metalurgs(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2012 | Skonto(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Spartaks Jurmala(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Daugava Rīga(away) | 4-0 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Jelgava score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Daugavpils / Progress score 1.8 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelgava | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Daugavpils / Progress | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy