Match

Johnstone Burgh vs Pollok: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)

Johnstone BurghPollok

The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Pollok. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Pollok?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Johnstone Burgh (1,591) and Pollok (1,656).

Johnstone Burgh win39 %
Draw23 %
Pollok win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pollok have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Johnstone Burgh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pollok(away)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Albion Rovers(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Celtic II(away)1-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Troon FC(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 4, 2026Elgin City(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Pollok
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(home)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Newton Stewart(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Renfrew(away)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Troon FC(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Johnstone Burgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pollok win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pollok 3-1 Johnstone BurghFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Pollok vs Johnstone Burgh on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Johnstone Burgh score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Pollok score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Johnstone Burgh1.61.825/85/8
Pollok2.11.358/1510/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Johnstone Burgh sit 20th in Football League - Lowland League (5 points from 4 matches) and Pollok sit 5th (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pollok541013413
20 Johnstone Burgh4121665

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Pollok?
The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Pollok.
Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Pollok played?
Johnstone Burgh vs Pollok is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Johnstone Burgh and Pollok

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