Match

Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Johnstone BurghAuchinleck Talbot

The Footlab AI model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Johnstone Burgh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auchinleck Talbot wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Johnstone Burgh (1,547) and Auchinleck Talbot (1,639).

35%23%42%
Johnstone Burgh winDrawAuchinleck Talbot win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Johnstone Burgh

Not enough data to predict the Johnstone Burgh lineup.

Auchinleck Talbot

4-3-3
  1. 24K. McAvoy
  2. 9C. Boyd
  3. 10A. Nimmo
  1. 12L. Main
  2. 14R. Clark
  3. 8A. Sime
  1. 11L. Gillies
  2. 5A. Wilson
  3. 23N. McPherson
  4. 3S. Schoneville
  1. 1W. Muir

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Auchinleck Talbot have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Johnstone Burgh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Gretna 2008(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Oct 3, 2026Newton Stewart(away)3-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Renfrew(home)3-2Football League - Lowland League
Sep 23, 2026Largs Thistle(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Sep 16, 2026Troon FC(away)2-1Football League - Lowland League
Auchinleck Talbot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Cumnock Juniors(away)0-2FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Cumnock Juniors(home)4-0Football League - Lowland League
Sep 22, 2026Kilwinning Rangers(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Sep 16, 2026Largs Thistle(home)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Sep 12, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)3-1Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Johnstone Burgh score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Auchinleck Talbot score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Johnstone Burgh2.01.8211/1511/15
Auchinleck Talbot2.81.155/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Johnstone Burgh sit 14th in Football League - Lowland League (19 points from 11 matches) and Auchinleck Talbot sit 9th (22 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Auchinleck Talbot11713351222
14 Johnstone Burgh11542241819

A question about Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot?
The Footlab AI model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Johnstone Burgh.
Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot played?
Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Johnstone Burgh and Auchinleck Talbot

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