Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Johnstone Burgh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot?
Auchinleck Talbot starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Auchinleck Talbot have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Johnstone Burgh score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnstone Burgh | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johnstone Burgh sit 20th in Football League - Lowland League (5 points from 4 matches) and Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 20 | Johnstone Burgh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Johnstone Burgh.
- Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot played?
- Johnstone Burgh vs Auchinleck Talbot is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers