Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Johvi Phoenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If Narva U21 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21?
Narva U21 starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,393 vs 1,258).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Johvi Phoenix
Not enough data to predict the Johvi Phoenix lineup.
Narva U21
4-3-3- 47N. Baljabkin
- 80S. Viidas
- 58V. Torchakov
- 55J. Jerjomin
- 29V. Kudriashov
- 36P. Bahval
- 16S. Kondrattsev
- 2V. Shantenkov
- 23A. Jegorov
- 39J. Ivanov
- 31I. Rebrik
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johvi Phoenix have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Narva U21 have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 4-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 2-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Legion(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Johvi Phoenix wins, 1 draw, 2 Narva U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Narva U21 1-0 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| May 28, 2026 | Narva U21 1-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 4-2 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Johvi Phoenix 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Narva U21 4-2 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Narva U21 3-4 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johvi Phoenix score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Narva U21 score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johvi Phoenix | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Narva U21 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johvi Phoenix sit 3rd in Esiliiga B (28 points from 16 matches) and Narva U21 sit 1st (63 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 71 | 36 | 63 |
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
A question about Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Johvi Phoenix.
- Where and when is Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21 played?
- Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21 is played on October 11, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.