Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
The Footlab model makes Tartu Kalev the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Levadia U19. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Tartu Kalev (1,291) and Levadia U19 (1,317).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Kalev have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Levadia U19 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-8 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 4-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Tartu Kalev win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Levadia U19 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Levadia U19 0-5 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
| May 29, 2026 | Tartu Kalev 2-0 Levadia U19 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Levadia U19 3-1 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Kalev score 3.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Levadia U19 score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Kalev | 3.3 | 2.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Levadia U19 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Kalev sit 5th in Esiliiga B (40 points from 24 matches) and Levadia U19 sit 2nd (44 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 59 | 42 | 44 |
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19?
- The Footlab model makes Tartu Kalev the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Levadia U19.
- Where and when is Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19 played?
- Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19 is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.