Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap: result 4-2 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
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What was the result of Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax won 4-2 on October 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 1′P. ParzyszekDe Graafschap
- 18′V. ČernýJong Ajax
- 31′V. ČernýJong Ajax
- 55′A. El IdrissiJong Ajax
- 75′A. NouriJong Ajax
- 77′E. van OverbeekDe Graafschap
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2016 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2016 | FC OSS(home) | 7-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2016 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Achilles 29(home) | 7-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2016 | Dordrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2016 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Heerenveen(away) | 1-5 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Emmen(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Telstar(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 3.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 9; De Graafschap score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/9 | 7/9 |
| De Graafschap | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 3 matches) and De Graafschap sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy