Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)PSV Campus De Herdgang, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Jong PSV U21 the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Jong PSV U21 (1,537) and Helmond Sport (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong PSV U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Helmond Sport have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong PSV U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Helmond Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Jong PSV U21 4-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-3 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 1-3 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Helmond Sport 2-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong PSV U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong PSV U21 sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jong PSV U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Jong PSV U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Jong PSV U21 the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport played?
- Jong PSV U21 vs Helmond Sport is played on February 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at PSV Campus De Herdgang, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.