Roda vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
The Footlab model makes Roda the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Jong Utrecht?
Roda starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roda win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Roda 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Roda 3-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Roda 0-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 6th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Roda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Roda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Roda the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Roda vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Roda vs Jong Utrecht is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.