Helmond Sport vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Helmond Sport wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs MVV?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,614) and MVV (1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs MVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-2-3-1- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 34T. Essakkati
- 10D. Huiberts
- 7J. van der Sluijs
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 5T. Poll
- 43T. Landheer
- 1M. Bergsen
MVV
4-2-3-1- 11T. Verheijen
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 18E. Sierra
- 16R. Klaasen
- 27Naïm Matoug
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Helmond Sport wins, 1 draw, 3 MVV wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV 2-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MVV 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-4 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Helmond Sport 4-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2024 | MVV 1-2 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2024 | MVV 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| MVV | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 12 matches) and MVV sit 10th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 17 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs MVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs MVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for MVV.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs MVV played?
- Helmond Sport vs MVV is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.