Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)PSV Campus De Herdgang, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong PSV U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong PSV U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jong AZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Jong AZ 0-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Jong AZ 2-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jong AZ 4-1 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 1-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21 on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong PSV U21 sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Jong AZ sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ played?
- Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ is played on September 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at PSV Campus De Herdgang, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.