Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 25, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If De Graafschap wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap?
De Graafschap starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jong Utrecht wins, 3 draws, 3 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 20, 2026 | De Graafschap 1-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 2-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 3, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 10 matches) and De Graafschap sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap played?
- Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap is played on January 25, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.