De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
De Graafschap starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 10F. de Jong
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 16N. Martens
- 23M. Diemers
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 21K. Symons
- 3R. Besselink
- 15T. Kok
- 5L. Schoppema
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 1T. Wieggers
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 9L. Bajrami
- 11L. Cicero
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 34T. Essakkati
- 10D. Huiberts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 20S. Dekkers
- 14Lovro Golič
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Helmond Sport have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 De Graafschap wins, 2 draws, 2 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport 1-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Helmond Sport 0-0 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 21, 2025 | De Graafschap 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| May 9, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-4 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-3 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Helmond Sport 3-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (15 points from 13 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 17th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 28 | 12 |
A question about De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport played?
- De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.