Heracles vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Helmond Sport?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 5D. van der Kust
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 2M. Benita
- 1F. de Keijzer
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 11L. Cicero
- 34T. Essakkati
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 19H. Ingason
- 10D. Huiberts
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 5T. Poll
- 43T. Landheer
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 5-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Heracles wins, 1 draw, 0 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-2 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Heracles 2-0 Helmond Sport | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Helmond Sport 0-1 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Heracles 2-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs Heracles on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (28 points from 11 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 19th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 13 | 28 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Heracles vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Helmond Sport played?
- Heracles vs Helmond Sport is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.