Match

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Yamaha Stadium, Iwata

Jubilo IwataSagan Tosu

The Footlab AI model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagan Tosu wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Jubilo Iwata (1,837) and Sagan Tosu (1,889).

35%30%35%
Jubilo Iwata winDrawSagan Tosu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Jubilo Iwata

4-3-3
  1. 31Iago Teles
  2. 32R. Ota
  3. 23T. Inui
  1. 15Yuri Lara
  2. 8H. Tameda
  3. 6D. Kaneko
  1. 2Danilo Cardoso
  2. 29K. Kuwabara
  3. 30K. Yamazaki
  4. 36R. Yoshimura
  1. 16A. Niekawa

Sagan Tosu

4-3-3
  1. 9T. Takahashi
  2. 11R. Shiohama
  3. 43K. Yoshino
  1. 16K. Nishizawa
  2. 7K. Sakamoto
  3. 24K. Yamauchi
  1. 44K. Abe
  2. 28M. Yoshida
  3. 26T. Ando
  4. 37R. Morishita
  1. 12S. Matsubara

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jubilo Iwata have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sagan Tosu have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jubilo Iwata
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Iwaki(away)1-1J2 League
Oct 21, 2026Oita Trinita(home)0-0J2 League
Oct 17, 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away)1-1J2 League
Oct 14, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-4J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Consadole Sapporo(home)1-0J2 League
Sagan Tosu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)2-0J2 League
Oct 21, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)1-2J2 League
Oct 17, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-1J2 League
Oct 14, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)2-1J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jubilo Iwata wins, 0 draws, 3 Sagan Tosu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Sagan Tosu 1-2 Jubilo IwataJ2 League
Feb 22, 2025Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Sagan TosuJ2 League
Dec 8, 2024Sagan Tosu 3-0 Jubilo IwataJ1 League
May 11, 2024Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan TosuJ1 League
May 24, 2023Sagan Tosu 0-2 Jubilo IwataJ-League Cup
Apr 5, 2023Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Sagan TosuJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sagan Tosu score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jubilo Iwata1.31.248/158/15
Sagan Tosu1.11.237/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jubilo Iwata sit 14th in J2 League (16 points from 13 matches) and Sagan Tosu sit 10th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Sagan Tosu13526141517
14Jubilo Iwata13445141516

A question about Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The Footlab AI model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Jubilo Iwata.
Where and when is Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu played?
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Yamaha Stadium, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu

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