Juventud vs Penarol: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Juventud vs Penarol?
Juventud won 1-0 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 16′D. VargasJuventud
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 11, 2016 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2016 | SUD America(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Fenix(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Juventud(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Juventud win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2016 | Juventud 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Penarol 1-0 Juventud | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Penarol 4-1 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Juventud 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 3, 2014 | Penarol 4-0 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Juventud 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Penarol | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud sit 14th in Primera División (15 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy