Juventud vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on April 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Full time
What was the result of Juventud vs Progreso?
Juventud won 1-0 on April 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′F. MimbacasJuventud
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Progreso have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventud win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Juventud 0-1 Progreso | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Juventud 1-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Juventud 2-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| May 18, 2025 | Progreso 1-2 Juventud | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Progreso 2-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Juventud 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud sit 14th in Primera División (15 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy