Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, Kabwe
The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 51%, against 33% for a draw and 16% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Kabwe Warriors (1,579) and Mutondo Stars (1,494).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kabwe Warriors have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mutondo Stars have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kabwe Warriors win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mutondo Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 1-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Kabwe Warriors 0-2 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kabwe Warriors sit 4th in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 51%, against 33% for a draw and 16% for Mutondo Stars.
- Where and when is Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars played?
- Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 10, 2026NkanavsMakeni All Stars
- Oct 10, 2026NkwazivsChirundu Utd
- Oct 10, 2026Red ArrowsvsMufulira Wanderers
- Oct 10, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsGreen Eagles
- Oct 10, 2026ZanacovsKonkola Blades
- Oct 10, 2026Roan UnitedvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 10, 2026TridentvsNAPSA Stars