ZESCO United vs Green Eagles: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Green Eagles. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ZESCO United vs Green Eagles?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate ZESCO United (1,621) and Green Eagles (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Green Eagles have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mines(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ZESCO United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Green Eagles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles 1-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | ZESCO United 1-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Green Eagles 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2024 | ZESCO United 1-0 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Green Eagles 1-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | ZESCO United 3-2 Green Eagles | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Eagles vs ZESCO United on May 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Eagles score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Green Eagles | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Green Eagles sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Green Eagles | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 50 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Green Eagles?
- The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Green Eagles.
- Where and when is ZESCO United vs Green Eagles played?
- ZESCO United vs Green Eagles is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsMutondo Stars
- Oct 10, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 10, 2026NkanavsMakeni All Stars
- Oct 10, 2026NkwazivsChirundu Utd
- Oct 10, 2026Red ArrowsvsMufulira Wanderers
- Oct 10, 2026ZanacovsKonkola Blades
- Oct 10, 2026Roan UnitedvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 10, 2026TridentvsNAPSA Stars