Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 64%, against 27% for a draw and 9% for Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Mufulira Wanderers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Red Arrows win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mufulira Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Red Arrows 1-0 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Red Arrows 1-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Red Arrows 0-0 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mufulira Wanderers vs Red Arrows on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mufulira Wanderers score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 64%, against 27% for a draw and 9% for Mufulira Wanderers.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers played?
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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