KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda: prediction and stats
Botola 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Kénitra, Kénitra
The Footlab AI model makes KAC Kenitra the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for USM Oujda. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate KAC Kenitra (1,658) and USM Oujda (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KAC Kenitra
Not enough data to predict the KAC Kenitra lineup.
USM Oujda
Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KAC Kenitra have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; USM Oujda have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Union Sportive Boujaad(away) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yacoub El Mansour(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wydad Fès(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | AS Mansouria(home) | 2-0 | Botola 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Mansouria(away) | 0-0 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Safi(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Riadi Salmi(away) | 0-2 | Botola 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 KAC Kenitra wins, 3 draws, 1 USM Oujda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | KAC Kenitra 0-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | USM Oujda 1-1 KAC Kenitra | Botola 2 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | KAC Kenitra 0-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | USM Oujda 2-1 KAC Kenitra | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KAC Kenitra score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USM Oujda score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAC Kenitra | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| USM Oujda | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KAC Kenitra sit 13th in Botola 2 (1 point from 3 matches) and USM Oujda sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USM Oujda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | KAC Kenitra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda?
- The Footlab AI model makes KAC Kenitra the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for USM Oujda.
- Where and when is KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda played?
- KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Kénitra, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Olympique SafivsOlympique Khouribga
- Nov 1, 2026Mouloudia OujdavsChabab Atl. Khenifra
- Nov 1, 2026Riadi SalmivsIttihad Khemisset
- Nov 1, 2026Wydad FèsvsChabab Ben Guerir
- Nov 1, 2026Chabab MohammédiavsStade Marocain
- Nov 1, 2026Yacoub El MansourvsEl Massira
- Nov 1, 2026Union Sportive BoujaadvsOlympique Dcheïra