Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid: result 0-5 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on September 30, 2025 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon, Almaty
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What was the result of Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 0-5 on September 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid (pen.)
- 52′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 73′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 83′E. CamavingaReal Madrid
- 90′Brahim DíazReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kairat Almaty have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Madrid have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 | Zhenys(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Aktobe(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Okzhetpes(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Celtic(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Levante(away) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Espanyol(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Marseille(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Kairat Almaty score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kairat Almaty sit 36th in UEFA Champions League (1 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy