Marseille vs Ajax: result 4-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on September 30, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Ajax?
Marseille won 4-0 on September 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′Igor PaixãoMarseille
- 12′Igor PaixãoMarseille
- 26′M. GreenwoodMarseille
- 52′P. AubameyangMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ajax have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Strasbourg(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Lorient(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Lyon(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Inter(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FC Volendam(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marseille win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | Marseille 4-3 Ajax | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Ajax 3-3 Marseille | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ajax | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 32nd (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy