Kalsdorf vs Tillmitsch: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 8Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportzentrum Kalsdorf, Kalsdorf bei Graz
The Footlab model makes Kalsdorf the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Tillmitsch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalsdorf vs Tillmitsch?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Kalsdorf (1,672) and Tillmitsch (1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalsdorf have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tillmitsch have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Allerheiligen(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gnas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-7 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fürstenfeld(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kalsdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tillmitsch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tillmitsch 0-1 Kalsdorf | Regionalliga - South |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tillmitsch 1-3 Kalsdorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Kalsdorf 4-2 Tillmitsch | Landesliga - Steiermark |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Tillmitsch 1-0 Kalsdorf | Landesliga - Steiermark |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Tillmitsch 1-0 Kalsdorf | Landesliga - Steiermark |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Kalsdorf 0-1 Tillmitsch | Landesliga - Steiermark |
Last archived meeting: Tillmitsch vs Kalsdorf on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tillmitsch score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalsdorf | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Tillmitsch | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalsdorf sit 3rd in Regionalliga - South (9 points from 3 matches) and Tillmitsch sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kalsdorf | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Tillmitsch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalsdorf vs Tillmitsch?
- The Footlab model makes Kalsdorf the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Tillmitsch.
- Where and when is Kalsdorf vs Tillmitsch played?
- Kalsdorf vs Tillmitsch is played on September 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportzentrum Kalsdorf, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.