Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 9Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gleisdorf 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch?
Tillmitsch starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gleisdorf 09 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tillmitsch have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hartberg (Am)(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Velden(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fürstenfeld(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gleisdorf 09 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tillmitsch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tillmitsch 2-1 Gleisdorf 09 | Regionalliga - South |
Last archived meeting: Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf 09 on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gleisdorf 09 score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tillmitsch score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleisdorf 09 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tillmitsch | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gleisdorf 09 sit 11th in Regionalliga - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Tillmitsch sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tillmitsch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Gleisdorf 09 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch?
- The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gleisdorf 09.
- Where and when is Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch played?
- Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.