Kaltenkirchen vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Kaltenkirchen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaltenkirchen vs Union Neumünster?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Kaltenkirchen (1,753) and Union Neumünster (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaltenkirchen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kaltenkirchen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Union Neumünster 3-2 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kaltenkirchen 2-0 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaltenkirchen sit 10th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (6 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaltenkirchen vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Kaltenkirchen.
- Where and when is Kaltenkirchen vs Union Neumünster played?
- Kaltenkirchen vs Union Neumünster is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.