Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Satrup, Mittelangeln
The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Nordmark Satrup (1,759) and Heider SV (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordmark Satrup have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nordmark Satrup win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup 1-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Heider SV 0-2 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Heider SV 3-1 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 1-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 8, 2024 | Heider SV 3-1 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Nordmark Satrup 3-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordmark Satrup sit 6th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV played?
- Nordmark Satrup vs Heider SV is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Satrup, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.