VfR Neumünster vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Grümmi-Arena, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Union Neumünster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Neumünster vs Union Neumünster?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate VfR Neumünster (1,854) and Union Neumünster (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Neumünster have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfR Neumünster win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster 0-3 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 15, 2026 | VfR Neumünster 2-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Union Neumünster 3-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 10, 2025 | Union Neumünster 2-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 20, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 4-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 12, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 5-0 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs VfR Neumünster on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Neumünster sit 1st in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (13 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Neumünster vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Union Neumünster.
- Where and when is VfR Neumünster vs Union Neumünster played?
- VfR Neumünster vs Union Neumünster is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Grümmi-Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.