Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ferencváros II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Kaposvar (1,670) and Ferencváros II (1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaposvar have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Ferencváros II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dunaujvaros FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kaposvar win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ferencváros II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kaposvar 0-1 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ferencváros II 1-1 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| May 4, 2025 | Kaposvar 4-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Ferencváros II 2-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Kaposvar 2-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Ferencváros II 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ferencváros II score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Ferencváros II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaposvar sit 2nd in NB III - Southwest (9 points from 3 matches) and Ferencváros II sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencváros II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II?
- The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ferencváros II.
- Where and when is Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II played?
- Kaposvar vs Ferencváros II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rákóczi Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.