Match

Siofok vs Paksi SE II: prediction and stats

NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Révész Géza utcai stadion, Siófok

SiofokPaksi SE II

The Footlab model makes Siofok the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Paksi SE II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siofok vs Paksi SE II?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Siofok (1,460) and Paksi SE II (1,371).

Siofok win52 %
Draw23 %
Paksi SE II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siofok have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Paksi SE II have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siofok
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TFSE Budapest(away)0-2Magyar Kupa
Aug 15, 2026Budafoki LC(home)0-0NB III - Southwest
Aug 12, 2026MTK Budapest II(home)2-1NB III - Southwest
Aug 9, 2026PTE-PEAC(away)1-2NB III - Southwest
Jul 25, 2026Kaposvar(away)1-2NB III - Southwest
Paksi SE II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Iváncsa(home)0-2NB III - Southwest
Aug 12, 2026Ferencváros II(home)2-2NB III - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Érdi VSE(away)1-3NB III - Southwest
Jul 26, 2026Majosi(away)2-2NB III - Southwest
May 24, 2026Szekszárd(away)2-3NB III - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Siofok win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Paksi SE II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Paksi SE II 1-3 SiofokNB III - Southwest
Jan 31, 2026Siofok 7-2 Paksi SE IIFriendlies Clubs
Oct 19, 2025Siofok 2-1 Paksi SE IINB III - Southwest
Apr 20, 2025Siofok 1-1 Paksi SE IINB III - Southwest
Oct 6, 2024Paksi SE II 2-2 SiofokNB III - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Paksi SE II vs Siofok on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siofok score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Siofok1.61.3310/159/15
Paksi SE II1.52.1110/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siofok sit 11th in NB III - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Paksi SE II sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Siofok4112454
13Paksi SE II4022592

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siofok vs Paksi SE II?
The Footlab model makes Siofok the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Paksi SE II.
Where and when is Siofok vs Paksi SE II played?
Siofok vs Paksi SE II is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Révész Géza utcai stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Siofok and Paksi SE II

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