PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)PMFC Stadion, Pécs
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for PTE-PEAC. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC?
Pécsi MFC is a heavy favourite: 1,734 Elo points against 1,383 — a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PTE-PEAC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Budafoki LC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 PTE-PEAC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pécsi MFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Pécsi MFC 3-2 PTE-PEAC | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 17, 2025 | PTE-PEAC 0-0 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 3-1 PTE-PEAC | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 29, 2024 | PTE-PEAC 1-2 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
PTE-PEAC score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTE-PEAC | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PTE-PEAC sit 3rd in NB III - Southwest (9 points from 4 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | PTE-PEAC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for PTE-PEAC.
- Where and when is PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC played?
- PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at PMFC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.